nfl games week 17 and point spreads at vegasinsider.com

This line is giving the Falcons too much respect for beating a blah Colts team last week. Teams with a 40-to-60% win rate that are 5-to-25% above their opponent are 52-105-6 ATS (33%) in Week 16 or later, and it's even worse (12-34-3 ATS, 26%) if they won last week, like Atlanta did. The Falcons also fit that trend of fading teams in must-win situations. The NFC South is an ugly 16-26 ATS (38%) in non-division games, and Atlanta is 2-8 ATS itself. Chicago has won four in a row at home and scored over 25 PPG in those contests, and the Bears' offense has been far better at home than on the road this season. The Falcons have been awful on the road (2-5), including losses to the Titans, Cardinals and Panthers, with the offense averaging under 14 PPG. The Bears are the better team and have been since the start of October with the gap only widening lately as Chicago cracks top five in DVOA over the past six weeks.Ĭhicago should have a real home-field advantage too. The Falcons are built to stop the run, but the Bears rate better at that too.

Falcons vs Bears Pick, PredictionĪction Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:Įxactly what are the Falcons better at? Atlanta is built to run the football, but Chicago ranks 10th in Rushing DVOA while Atlanta is 21st. The Falcons-Bears spread and total are stable tonight at The SuperBook.Ĭlick here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 17 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

In Week 16, the Bears topped Arizona 27-16 giving 4.5 points at home. The Falcons rolled over Indianapolis 29-10 laying 2.5 points at home.Ĭhicago (6-9 SU/7-7-1 ATS) is actually on upturns of 3-1 SU/4-1 ATS. ET SUNDAY: Atlanta (7-8 SU/5-10 ATS) is making a last gasp for the postseason. Ticket count is just shy of 2/1 and money 5/1 on the Under. Still, spread tickets and cash are in the 2/1 range on the Bears.īetMGM's total went from 38 to 38.5 Monday, then returned to 38 Tuesday. But this afternoon, Chicago is down to -2.5 (-115). ET FRIDAY: The Bears were pinned to -3 most of the week at BetMGM, with only juice adjustments. The Over is seeing 64% of bets/55% of money. The Bears are drawing 70% of spread bets/59% of spread money.ĭK's total opened at 39, hit a low of 37.5 Tuesday, then made its way up to 39 by this morning. Chicago spent a good chunk of Friday and Saturday at various iterations of -2.5, then returned to -3 Saturday night. That's exactly where this line opened a week ago. ET SUNDAY: As kickoff nears, the Bears are -3 (-105) at DraftKings.

Opening total: Over/Under 37.5 points scored.

Opening moneyline: Bears -160/Falcons +140.

Nfl games week 17 and point spreads at vegasinsider.com